I don't think Strahd is generally likely to concern himself with smugglers over much. I always figured he'd focus on things which presented a very real and significant threat to his authority.
Then you don't understand that character's motivations at all.
For one, he detests thieves. Smugglers mean that people are ignoring his tax laws, which is a double affront to him: disrespecting his laws and denying him money.
Indeed. Strahd is majorly demanding with keeping his laws. He may overlook a few minor misteps, because they serve him more, but he can allways make these things valid, once you are no use to him. (example: Caradoc)
Strahd is more like a chess player, he makes sacrifices, he allows things, whatever serves him better, however, it does not mean he has forgotten about you.
It only means that you are still some value to him. However even then there are things which he will not tolerate.
About the smugglers issue, i would say there are no two smugglers alike, in the eyes of Strahd. Some he will not waste time upon because it is not worth it.
He will likely weigh down on those though who smuggle weapons for gundarakites, or such other fatal issues.
But for an opium handler who supports say the Wachters, he will not lift a finger, as long as the supplier will not get too demanding and request the Wacthers too high price (be it deed, information or money.) [The wachter is just an imaginary example, just to show that Strahd does not treat all smugglers equally, and i have chosen the Wacthers as an imaginary example delibaretly since that family is the most loyal to the Count, and has been in the past centuries.]